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Joseph Rickert and I put together an experiment trying to both run a standard meta-analysis and then reproduce similar results directly using Bayesian methods. I think it came out really interesting and we share it here at R Works and also here on Github. A meta-analysis is an attempt to […]
8 months ago

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More from Win Vector LLC

How About Pi ~ 31/32?

At a quick glance: 32 is greater than 10. 31/32 is about 0.96875, not near pi ~ 3.141593. 31/10 = 3.1 is a worse approximation of pi than 22/7 ~ 3.142857.

3 months ago 33 votes
Don’t Let a Data Leak Sink Your Project

One of the bigger risks of iterative statistical or machine learning fitting procedures is over-fit or the dreaded data leak. Over-fit is when: a model performs better on training data than on future data. Some degree of over-fit is expected. A data leak is when: the model learns things about […]

3 months ago 29 votes
Working Through A Trivial Algorithm Whose Analysis Isn’t

I have a new “crazy theorists” article up: “Working Through A Trivial Algorithm Whose Analysis Isn’t.” It is my notes on reading through Jonassen and Knuth’s amazing 1978 article analyzing 2 to 3 node search trees. You would think there couldn’t be a lot to that. But there is! I […]

3 months ago 24 votes
Demonstrating Kelly Betting with Chips

I have a new video demonstrating the Kelly Can’t Fail betting strategy. The idea is: this is a classroom appropriate tool for discussing allocating assets in the presence of risk. The usual Kelly betting on coin-flips is too high variance to expect successful classroom demonstrations. However, the zero variance card […]

3 months ago 40 votes
Is There a Difference Between Calculation and Computation?

Recently I’ve been producing (for my own amusement) example Curta calculations. One motivation was arguing if a proposed solution method for Dudeney’s digits problem was something that could in fact have been easily executed in 1924. This got me thinking, is there an actual difference between calculation and computation? In […]

4 months ago 47 votes

More in AI

AI Roundup 129: Personal Superintelligence

August 1, 2025.

4 days ago 9 votes
You're invited to the ML for SWEs Discord server!

I’ve set up a Discord server for paid machine learning for software engineer subscribers, so you can have access to all of my curated feeds that I use to keep up with AI resources, news and jobs. This is also a private space for paid subscribers to chat, learn, network, and get feedback from one another.

4 days ago 7 votes
Ads are inevitable in AI, and that's okay

Convergent evolution in LLMs will get us there

a week ago 13 votes
The Bitter Lesson versus The Garbage Can

Does process matter? We are about to find out.

a week ago 24 votes
The US Should Run Faster on AI Instead of Trying to Trip Up China

Export Controls and Trump's New AI Action Plan

a week ago 15 votes