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Win Vector LLC

Win Vector LLC
Hat Color Puzzles Introduction Theoretical computer scientists tend to love a class of problems I call “hat color”...
a month ago
4
a month ago
Introduction Theoretical computer scientists tend to love a class of problems I call “hat color” puzzles. There seem to be only a few of these puzzles, yet they feel like examples or tests for a large and important class of methodologies. I’d like to introduce a few of these...
Win Vector LLC
Trying to Describe 2024 AI Premises I can’t resist adding yet another commentary on the state of 2024 AI (and, yes I know it is now 2025...
3 weeks ago
4
3 weeks ago
I can’t resist adding yet another commentary on the state of 2024 AI (and, yes I know it is now 2025 and DeepSeek is relevant!). The 2024 AI money machine appears to have depended on several premises: The product would be valuable. The product would be very expensive to...
Win Vector LLC
What Fraction of Containerization is Just Working Around Dynamic Linking? Quick uniformed rant time. We live in a world of containerization and virtualization. Your average...
a month ago
4
a month ago
Quick uniformed rant time. We live in a world of containerization and virtualization. Your average systems engineer wouldn’t dream of running something on an actual computer. Instead they would use Kubernetes, Docker, Podman, or who knows what else. These indirections or...
Win Vector LLC
Kelly Betting With Discrete Stakes In our note “Kelly Can’t Fail” we shared the “Next Card Bet” game as described in Peter Winkler’s...
2 months ago
4
2 months ago
In our note “Kelly Can’t Fail” we shared the “Next Card Bet” game as described in Peter Winkler’s Mathematical Puzzles. Our observation is the amazing zero variance strategy shown is in fact the Kelly criteria. Which means, this is a surprising situation where the Kelly strategy...
Win Vector LLC
Reposting Partial Pooling Nina Zumel had some good articles on partial pooling estimators that I want to return to. It is a...
a month ago
4
a month ago
Nina Zumel had some good articles on partial pooling estimators that I want to return to. It is a great technique to get more reliable models when using categorical variables. I wrote an introduction to them here some time ago. More importantly Nina has now repaired the damage to...
Win Vector LLC
Examining Meta-Analysis Joseph Rickert and I put together an experiment trying to both run a standard meta-analysis and then...
2 months ago
4
2 months ago
Joseph Rickert and I put together an experiment trying to both run a standard meta-analysis and then reproduce similar results directly using Bayesian methods. I think it came out really interesting and we share it here at R Works and also here on Github. A meta-analysis is an...
Win Vector LLC
The Monkey and the Coconuts: An Introduction to the Extended Euclidean Algorithm I have a fun new puzzle and matching algorithm demonstration to share. The Monkey and the Coconuts:...
3 months ago
4
3 months ago
I have a fun new puzzle and matching algorithm demonstration to share. The Monkey and the Coconuts: An Introduction to the Extended Euclidean Algorithm Photo by Judgefloro – Own work, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=43063034 Toying with the idea of...
Win Vector LLC
ODSC West 2024 I had a great time at ODSC West 2024. And it was really wonderful to get to talk with Sheamus...
3 months ago
3
3 months ago
I had a great time at ODSC West 2024. And it was really wonderful to get to talk with Sheamus McGovern again! Thank you ODSC for putting together a great conference and being wonderful hosts at ODSCWest. I had a great time, and was very energized by all of the […]
Win Vector LLC
Calculating at Pencil and Paper Scale Introduction It can be fun to drive a problem all the way into the ground. I don’t always get to do...
3 months ago
3
3 months ago
Introduction It can be fun to drive a problem all the way into the ground. I don’t always get to do that on paying projects, however sometimes I can do it with hobby projects. In this case I am going to re-solve Dudeney’s Remainder Problem again and again to argue […]
Win Vector LLC
Kelly Can’t Fail Introduction You may have heard of the Kelly bet allocation strategy. It is a system for correctly...
2 months ago
3
2 months ago
Introduction You may have heard of the Kelly bet allocation strategy. It is a system for correctly exploiting information or bias in a gambling situation. It is also known as a maximally aggressive or high variance strategy, in that betting more than the Kelly selection can be...