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Plus! Divided Attention; Demand; Buying Low?; The Stuff Tax; Mispriced Derivatives
2 days ago

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Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2025

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2025 A brief excerpt: Earlier this week, in Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2025 I reviewed home inventory, housing starts and sales. NOTE: I started the year adopting the position of Fed Chair Powell, taking a “wait and see” approach on what policies would actually be enacted. Now I’m trying to understand the impact of policy changes on housing. It appears building costs will increase significantly, and demand for housing will likely decline. I’ll have more soon. The Case-Shiller National Index increased 3.9% year-over-year (YoY) in December and will be about the same YoY - or slightly higher - in the January report (based on other data). There is much more in the article.

15 hours ago 2 votes
Crypto reserves: no public good, no principles

The formerly anti-government bitcoin movement abandons its principles in favor of number-go-up, applauds federal plan to stockpile seized crypto with no clear benefit to national interest

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2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in February

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in February A brief excerpt: NOTE: The tables for active listings, new listings and closed sales all include a comparison to February 2019 for each local market (some 2019 data is not available). Here is a look at months-of-supply using NSA sales. Since this is NSA data, it is likely months-of-supply will increase into the Summer. There is much more in the article.

2 days ago 3 votes
BLS: Job Openings Increased to 7.7 million in January

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings was little changed at 7.7 million in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Hires held at 5.4 million, and total separations changed little at 5.3 million. Within separations, quits (3.3 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.6 million) changed little. emphasis added This report is for January; the employment report last Friday was for February. Click on graph for larger image. The number of job openings (black) were down 9% year-over-year.  Quits were down 3% year-over-year. These are voluntary separations. (See light blue columns at bottom of graph for trend for "quits").

2 days ago 3 votes