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A lot of financial thinking and intuition attempts to phrase decisions and choices in terms of claimed returns or in terms of expected values. For example: An ultra greedy gambler may pick the highest claimed winning payoff, independent of win or success probabilities. A greedy gambler may pick the highest […]
The (now falsified) Jacobian conjecture was a well known conjecture expressing the hope that a family of functions had nice properties. In July 2026 Levent Alpöge exhibited a simple counter-example that he said was found by Claude Fable 5. Fields medalist Terence Tao wrote on this result try to relate […]
Introduction In our earlier article “How Many Chess Games are Possible?” we derived that the number of typical short chess games is around 10151. This turned out to be much larger than the “Shannon number” 10120 side-note from Shanon’s remarkable 1950 paper “Programming a Computer for Playing Chess” Philosophical Magazine, […]
I’ve been worrying a bit over the philosophy of creation and dissemination in the era of LLMs (large language models). I feel we are overly impressed with the byproduct or even the bycatch. LLMs do complete some tasks, write code, and produce superficially convincing texts. In my opinion, this is […]
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You know we don’t have to do this anymore, right? Like it’s hitting the end. Most people don’t want this, and there will only be so long you can keep shoving it down their throats. Money is tied to nothing. American companies sell equity instead of products. The main narratives are pushing fear and resentment. This doesn’t last. Given that you know it’s over soon, ask yourself what kind of person you want to be in the mean time. I haven’t forgotten the people who pushed the Iraq war, climate change, wokism, the satanic panic, and COVID. I will not forget the people who push AI doom, particularly if you did it knowingly to drive attention to your bullshit. It’s interesting how it isn’t working as well as it used to. So now think, when the world (obviously) doesn’t end, are you doing what you want to be remembered for? The Internet will not forget. Everything will be revealed. And you will be judged accordingly. If AI goes well, in 20 years, you’ll be able to live very comfortably off the grid without any recurring expense. No rent, no electric bill, no water bill, no security bill, and no food bill. And if AI doesn’t go well, that’s what these people took from you.
c’mon, try doing a breakthrough
