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A lot of financial thinking and intuition attempts to phrase decisions and choices in terms of claimed returns or in terms of expected values. For example: An ultra greedy gambler may pick the highest claimed winning payoff, independent of win or success probabilities. A greedy gambler may pick the highest […]
The (now falsified) Jacobian conjecture was a well known conjecture expressing the hope that a family of functions had nice properties. In July 2026 Levent Alpöge exhibited a simple counter-example that he said was found by Claude Fable 5. Fields medalist Terence Tao wrote on this result try to relate […]
Win Vector’s Dr. Nina Zumel has an exciting new article to share: Who’s the Best Batter? Estimating Probabilities from Unevenly Collected Data. It is a technical demonstration on how what one observes (outcomes, frequencies, and so on) differ from what we want to know (effectiveness, probabilities, and so on). In […]
Introduction In our earlier article “How Many Chess Games are Possible?” we derived that the number of typical short chess games is around 10151. This turned out to be much larger than the “Shannon number” 10120 side-note from Shanon’s remarkable 1950 paper “Programming a Computer for Playing Chess” Philosophical Magazine, […]
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There's a lot of polarising discourse right now about the threat AI poses to humanity. Some think it's a farce and others think we face extinction. Here are my thoughts.
A middle ground between the cybersecurity and AI safety communities
An overview of the current state of the engineering market and the AI skills that are in demand
Wendell Berry died last week at 92 at his home in Port Royal, Kentucky, where he farmed his land using traditional techniques and wrote with ... Read more The post Wendell Berry and the Promise of the Deep Life appeared first on Cal Newport.
