I was searching for one last real world example for my upcoming video talk March 13th on time series forecasting. Hope to see you there! Or reach out to Win Vector LLC for custom training! I had the seemingly harmless thought: “Let’s look at Stack Overflow trends“. In particular their […]

After the positive reception of my cards article “Kelly can’t fail” I decided to share more of the methods used to characterize card counting. So, I’d like to share my new article on the statistics of drawing cards. This note relates the distribution of draw cards (which can seem scare) […]

I can’t resist adding yet another commentary on the state of 2024 AI (and, yes I know it is now 2025 and DeepSeek is relevant!). The 2024 AI money machine appears to have depended on several premises: The product would be valuable. The product would be very expensive to reproduce. […]

Introduction Theoretical computer scientists tend to love a class of problems I call “hat color” puzzles. There seem to be only a few of these puzzles, yet they feel like examples or tests for a large and important class of methodologies. I’d like to introduce a few of these marvels. […]