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After the positive reception of my cards article “Kelly can’t fail” I decided to share more of the methods used to characterize card counting. So, I’d like to share my new article on the statistics of drawing cards. This note relates the distribution of draw cards (which can seem scare) […]
2 months ago

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More from Win Vector LLC

Demonstrating Kelly Betting with Chips

I have a new video demonstrating the Kelly Can’t Fail betting strategy. The idea is: this is a classroom appropriate tool for discussing allocating assets in the presence of risk. The usual Kelly betting on coin-flips is too high variance to expect successful classroom demonstrations. However, the zero variance card […]

2 weeks ago 13 votes
Is There a Difference Between Calculation and Computation?

Recently I’ve been producing (for my own amusement) example Curta calculations. One motivation was arguing if a proposed solution method for Dudeney’s digits problem was something that could in fact have been easily executed in 1924. This got me thinking, is there an actual difference between calculation and computation? In […]

a month ago 18 votes
Changing Forecasts for Python Questions on Stack Overflow

I recently conducted a small time series workshop session for AI+ training hosted by ODSC. It went really well, and I’d be happy to offer longer interactive workshops going forward (please reach out if your team would like one!). One of the examples I shared was derived from the following […]

a month ago 16 votes
Is GitHub Lying Here?

My partners and I keep getting this spam-like email. I figured it was just a forgery. However, I went on my own to our organization’s GitHub administration page and a similar message lives there. We run a small group, so I am pretty sure nobody has in fact asked for […]

a month ago 16 votes
Don’t think of a basketball player, or search engines don’t even support “not”

In my opinion we have been accepting poor interfaces and results from search engines for quite a while. This may be a small part of why the newer Large Language Models (LLMs) / Generative AIs look so good. The large language models at least implement a usable approximation of what […]

a month ago 21 votes

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Or you had better not.

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