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Trade Deficit decreased to $122.7 Billion in February

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
The Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported: The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that...

The Global Trade Game: Jokers Are Wild

4 months ago
from oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith in finance
There may be no winners of the game of Global Domination (tm), and that is likely the best outcome. Okay, players: jokers are wild, but with a...

Heavy Truck Sales Decreased 12% YoY in March: Lowest since May 2020

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
This graph shows heavy truck sales since 1967 using data from the BEA. The dashed line is the March 2025 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR)...

Why sanctions didn’t stop Russia's Garantex from using stablecoins

4 months ago
from Moneyness in finance
Stablecoins, a new type of financial institution, are unique in two ways. First, they use decentralized databases like Ethereum and Tron to run their...

Wednesday: ADP Employment

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. mortgage purchase applications index. ADP Employment Report for...

eToro: Twitch Plays the Market

4 months ago
from The Diff in finance
Plus! OpenAI; Open AI; Supply Chains and Self-Tariffing; Surface Area; Secrets

Construction Spending Increased 0.7% in February

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending decreased: Construction spending during February 2025 was estimated at a seasonally...

How to Become an Asian Tycoon

4 months ago
from Commoncog in finance
Every Asian tycoon becomes a tycoon in the exact same way. Learning to see this core pattern is half the battle.

Tuesday: Job Openings, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Inch Lower, But Remain Broadly Sideways Sideways" has been the dominant theme for mortgage...

Why the Global Recession Will be Deeper and Longer Than Pundits Anticipate

4 months ago
from oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith in finance
The global recession will be deeper and longer than those relying on models based on the past two decades of hyper-globalization and...

"Do Firms Need Juniors?" Might be the Wrong Question

4 months ago
from The Diff in finance
Plus! Solve for X + X; Refactoring; AI and Distribution; How Models Think; The AI Business Model

Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in February; Up 3.4% Year-over-year

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in February; Up 3.4% Year-over-year A brief excerpt:...

Longreads + Open Thread

4 months ago
from The Diff in finance
Jobs, Nobels, AI, Magazines, Worms, Complements

Schedule for Week of March 30, 2025

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
The key report scheduled for this week is the March employment report on Friday. Fed Chair Powell speaks on Friday. ----- Monday, March 31st...

Issue 80 – Aimed at benefiting the digital assets industry

4 months ago
from Citation Needed in finance
As the US government lays a very favorable groundwork for the crypto industry, Trump positions himself for maximum personal profit

Q1 GDP Tracking: -0.5% to 1%

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
From BofA: 1Q GDP tracking is down from our recently updated official forecast of 1.5% q/q saar to 1.0% q/q saar. [Mar 28th estimate] emphasis...

IP Protection in the Era of Fast Copying and Watermark Removal

4 months ago
from The Diff in finance
Plus! Data and Outsourcing CoreWeave Fraud Realignment Local AI

PCE Measure of Shelter Decreases to 4.3% YoY in February

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report and housing from the PCE report this morning, both through February...

Ultra-Processed Life

4 months ago
from oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith in finance
Consuming more of this Ultra-Processed World is not a path to "the good life," it's a path to the destruction and derangement of an Ultra-Processed...

Inflation Adjusted House Prices 0.8% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.4% below 2022 peak

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 0.8% Below 2022 Peak It has been over 18 years since the housing...

StubHub: Market-Making in a Maximally-Heterogeneous Asset Class

4 months ago
from The Diff in finance
Plus! Lobbying Through Products; Models; Digital Assets; Skill Levels; Risk Premia

NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 2.0% in February; Down 3.6% YoY

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
From the NAR: Pending Home Sales Advanced 2.0% in February Pending home sales improved 2.0% in February according to the National Association of...

The Two-Sided Uncertainty Tax

4 months ago
from The Diff in finance
Plus! Privacy and Usability; Muscle Memory; Talking One's Economic Short Book; More Preemptive Free Trade; Private and Public

New Home Sales Increase to 676,000 Annual Rate in February

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
The Census Bureau reports New Home Sales in February were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 676 thousand. Sales of new single-family...

There's More Than One Efficient Market Paradox

4 months ago
from The Diff in finance
Plus! Reciprocal Tariffs; AI Purgatory; Payments and Credit; LinkedInFluencers; Efficient Markets

Housing March 24th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.9% Week-over-week, Up 30.3% Year-over-year

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
Altos reports that active single-family inventory was up 1.9% week-over-week. Inventory is now up 7.0% from the seasonal bottom in January and is...

Longreads + Open Thread

4 months ago
from The Diff in finance
Archiving, Externalities, OpenAI, 2024, Abundance, Hiring, The Dollar

Schedule for Week of March 23, 2025

4 months ago
from Calculated Risk in finance
The key reports scheduled for this week include February New Home sales, the 3rd estimate of Q4 GDP, February Personal Income & Outlays, and January...
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