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We, Gary Marcus, author, scientist, and noted AI skeptic, and Miles Brundage, an independent AI policy researcher who recently left OpenAI and is bullish on AI progress, have agreed to the following bet, at 10:1 odds, with criteria drawn from two earlier Substack essays by Gary that proposed criteria for
3 months ago

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More from Marcus on AI

OpenAI’s dirty December o3 demo doesn’t readily replicate

Don’t believe everything you see

3 days ago 7 votes
OpenAI’s o3 and Tyler Cowen’s Misguided AGI Fantasy

AI can only improve if its limits as well as its strengths are faced honestly

a week ago 7 votes
”Those claiming we’re mere months away from AI agents replacing most programmers” should think again

AI agents will change the world. But not this year.

a week ago 9 votes
Altman vs Musk cage match

Uh oh. Now Altman wants to build a social media company, to compete with X. Who should we root for?

a week ago 9 votes
Sam Altman’s attitude problem

What happened to the man who once told the US Senate “creators deserve control over how their creations are used”?

a week ago 11 votes

More in AI

AI #113: The o3 Era Begins

Enjoy it while it lasts.

2 days ago 5 votes
OpenAI’s dirty December o3 demo doesn’t readily replicate

Don’t believe everything you see

3 days ago 7 votes
o3 Is a Lying Liar

I love o3.

3 days ago 5 votes
New Results of State-of-the-art LLMs on 4 Political Orientation Tests

One model appears closer to the center than the rest

4 days ago 6 votes
You Better Mechanize

Or you had better not.

4 days ago 5 votes