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As futarchy interest and activity are way up lately, this seems a good time to elaborate on one of its most technical issues, one that @metaproph3t also discussed recently: decision selection bias.
3 months ago

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More from Overcoming Bias

Futarchy For Fundraising

The Making of Modern Corporate Finance: A History of the Ideas and How They Help Build the Wealth of Nations (quotes below), by Donald Chew, persuaded me that for-profit-firm capitalism has varied quite a lot over space and time, and that the U.S.

2 days ago 4 votes
Turn The Ship Or Leave on Lifeboats

To those who see just how much better is a civilized life, one of the most terrifying things one can learn from history is that pretty much all past civilizations fell.

a week ago 10 votes
Join We Meta-Adaptionists

Standard decision theory says that all decisions combine two key factors: opinions on values, and beliefs about facts.

a week ago 8 votes
What Do I Want?

It is relatively easy to identify a list of things that we want, in the sense of preferring a life with more of them to less of them.

a week ago 12 votes
What Things Really Feel?

We humans have brains that guide our behavior, inserting complex “signal-processing” between input from our eyes, ears, etc., and output to control our hands, mouth, etc.

2 weeks ago 15 votes

More in history

The Steps a President Would Take to Destroy His Nation, According to Grok

Just out of curiosity, and apropos of nothing, we asked Grok (the AI chatbot created by Elon Musk) the following question: If a president of a superpower wanted to destroy his own country, what steps would he take? Here’s what Grok had to say: If a president of a superpower aimed to deliberately undermine their […]

19 hours ago 2 votes
Excavations at Pompeii Reveal Rare Life-Sized Statues

An ongoing excavation at the ancient Roman city of Pompeii yielded an unusual pair of marble funerary statues. The figures depict a man in a toga and a bejeweled woman, who experts believe may have been a Pompeiian priestess.   Statues Found at Pompeii’s Porta Sarno Necropolis   Archaeologists unearthed the pair of relief […]

14 hours ago 2 votes
40k

Wrong Side of History Newsletter #61

7 hours ago 1 votes
What Is an Ideal Government? A Philosophical Approach

What makes a perfect government? Is it one governed by the wisest people or one that ensures the greatest possible happiness for the largest number of citizens? These questions have fascinated thinkers since ancient times—from Plato and other classical philosophers to John Locke and more recent political theorists. In this article, we will take […]

22 hours ago 1 votes
Painted Ants Scurry Over Vintage Porcelain by Evelyn Bracklow

German artist Evelyn Bracklow’s porcelain cups, saucers, teapots and dinner service is covered in ants. On some she’s painted a piece of food and then had her hand-painted black ants congregate around it. The effect is fascinating stuff and unsettling. We know that ants exist in abundance, but we don’t want to encounter one on … Continue reading "Painted Ants Scurry Over Vintage Porcelain by Evelyn Bracklow" The post Painted Ants Scurry Over Vintage Porcelain by Evelyn Bracklow appeared first on Flashbak.

an hour ago 1 votes