More from Probably Overthinking It
I’ve been thinking about Think Linear Algebra for more than a decade, and recently I started working on it in earnest. If you want to get a sense of it, I’ve posted a draft chapter as a Jupyter notebook. In one way, I am glad I waited — I think it will be better, faster [to write], and stronger [?] because of AI tools. To be clear, I am writing this book, not AI. But I’m finding ChatGPT helpful for... Read More Read More The post Announcing Think Linear Algebra appeared first on Probably Overthinking It.
I’m not sure who scheduled ODSC and PyConUS during the same week, but I am unhappy with their decisions. Last Tuesday I presented a talk and co-presented a workshop at ODSC, and on Thursday I presented a tutorial at PyCon. If you would like to follow along with my very busy week, here are the resources: Practical Bayesian Modeling with PyMC Co-presented with Alex Fengler for ODSC East 2025 In this tutorial, we explore Bayesian regression using PyMC – the... Read More Read More The post My very busy week appeared first on Probably Overthinking It.
The third edition of Think Stats is on its way to the printer! You can preorder now from Bookshop.org and Amazon (those are affiliate links), or if you can’t wait to get a paper copy, you can read the free, online version here. Here’s the new cover, still featuring a suspicious-looking archerfish. If you are not familiar with the previous editions, Think Stats is an introduction to practical methods for exploring and visualizing data, discovering relationships and trends, and communicating... Read More Read More The post Announcing Think Stats 3e appeared first on Probably Overthinking It.
The most recent data from the National Survey of Family Growth (NSFG) provides a first look at people born in the 2000s as young adults and an updated view of people born in the 1990s at the peak of their child-bearing years. Compared to previous generations at the same ages, these cohorts have fewer children, and they are less likely to say they intend to have children. Unless their plans change, trends toward lower fertility are likely to continue for... Read More Read More The post Young Adults Want Fewer Children appeared first on Probably Overthinking It.
This is the last in a series of excerpts from Elements of Data Science, now available from Lulu.com and online booksellers. This article is based on the Recidivism Case Study, which is about algorithmic fairness. The goal of the case study is to explain the statistical arguments presented in two articles from 2016: Both are about COMPAS, a statistical tool used in the justice system to assign defendants a “risk score” that is intended to reflect the risk that they... Read More Read More The post Algorithmic Fairness appeared first on Probably Overthinking It.
More in science
The James Webb Space Telescope has found a lonely black hole in the early universe that’s as heavy as 50 million suns. A major discovery, the object confounds theories of the young cosmos. The post A Single, ‘Naked’ Black Hole Rewrites the History of the Universe first appeared on Quanta Magazine
Systems thinkers fail because they ignore an important fact: systems fight back.
Please don’t ask me about the illegal way…I’m not telling you
A few more interesting tidbits from the concluding half-day of the DOE ECMP PI meeting: Dmitri Basov showed some of the remarkable experiments enabled by layers of MoOCl2, which in the IR is an intrinsically hyperbolic optical material. This material has unusual plasmonic properties considering its high resistivity. These include peculiar cavity effects such as modifying superfluid density of a proximally coupled superconductor. Leonid Butov explained some remarkable evidence for superfluidity of indirect excitons excited in the moire bilayer of MoSe2/WSe2. Low temperature mean free paths of these objects can exceed hundreds of microns (!). Cui-Zu Chang showed evidence that truly stoichiometric FeTe is actually a superconductor with a critical temperature of about 13.5 K, rather than the usual thinking that it is an antiferromagnetic metal. Apparently an extra 2% of interstitial iron is enough to kill superconductivity and induce AFM order. James McIver presented an example of how nonlinear optical effects in an optically driven (Floquet) Weyl semimetal seem to vary linearly with driving field - anomalously strong. Dmytro Bozhko showed a really neat technique, using Brillouin light scattering to map out the dispersion of phonons and magnons in YIG, and to extend this approach with a special hollow-core optical fiber to low temperatures with the motivation of probing magnon superfluidity in a particular antiferromagnetic insulator. Ray Ashoori used his characteristically pretty quantum capacitance measurement technique to examine the density+displacement field+magnetic field phase diagram of 5-layer rhombohedral graphene, revealing some surprising fractional Chern insulator states. Claudia Ojeda-Aristizabal discussed some mesoscopic transport measurements in bilayer graphene, where an adsorbed layer of spin-containing CuPc molecules seems to affect both decoherence and the trigonal warping contribution to it (related to intervalley scattering). Feng Wang and You Zhou both discussed recent measurements looking at Wigner crystals and their properties in 2D TMDs, through a variety of means. Liuyan Zhao showed some very rich physics obtained in studies that moiré stack bilayers of the van der Waals insulating magnet CrI3. Unfortunately I missed the last talk because of the need to head to the airport. Overall, the meeting was very good. Program PI meetings can tend to become less about telling coherent scientific stories and more about trying to show everything someone has done in the last three years. This meeting avoided that, with clear talks that generally focused on one main result, and that made it much more engaging. As good as tools for virtual gatherings have become, there really is no substitute for an in-person event when you can just talk to someone by the coffee about some new idea.
Western wildfires are producing massive plumes of smoke that have, in recent years, clouded eastern skies. But a new study finds that, paradoxically, heat from fires is reshaping weather patterns in ways that are actually improving overall air quality on the East Coast. Read more on E360 →