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The following are some (lognormal fit) median estimates from some X polls I just ran.
5 months ago

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More from Overcoming Bias

Details Avoid Bias

Long ago I noted:

2 months ago 32 votes
Sincerity Adds To Drift

The 2008 book Ritual and Its Consequences: An Essay on the Limits of Sincerity is hard for me to understand, but I’ve been trying to figure it out, as the concepts it considers seem interesting and important:

2 months ago 19 votes
Elite Confidence

Rob Henderson has a great essay summarizing the expert vs elite distinction I discussed in 6 prior posts (1 2 3 4 5 6):

2 months ago 22 votes
Surprisingly Blind

You might expect us to understand our romantic couple breakups very well.

2 months ago 17 votes
Abstraction Worsens Drift

My Ph.D.

2 months ago 15 votes

More in history

On the Spot: Kathleen DuVal

On the Spot: Kathleen DuVal JamesHoare Tue, 07/15/2025 - 08:09

14 hours ago 2 votes
Ulissi Aldrovandi’s Monstrorum Historia: Dragons And Other Real Monsters

“I have never described any thing without first having seen it with my eyes” – Ulissi Aldrovandi, who shows us dragons and other monsters in his Monstrorum Historia     Ulissi Aldrovandi’s Monstrorum Historia is a huge 13-volume encyclopaedia of life on Earth. The books cover different subjects: quadrupeds, fish, sea life, birds, serpents, plants … Continue reading "Ulissi Aldrovandi’s Monstrorum Historia: Dragons And Other Real Monsters" The post Ulissi Aldrovandi’s Monstrorum Historia: Dragons And Other Real Monsters appeared first on Flashbak.

2 hours ago 1 votes
How Odysseus Survived the Terrifying Sea Monsters Scylla and Charybdis

Scylla and Charybdis appear mainly in book twelve of Homer’s Odyssey, in which Odysseus and his crew must sail through the rocks near where the monsters live. Little information is known about their origins, though some stories are provided in myth. Scylla and Charybdis were located on opposite sides of the Strait of Messina […]

yesterday 2 votes
A Tale of Zeus as a Goose

The Totally Unhinged Story Behind the Stars

yesterday 3 votes
What Was the Significance of Philippi and Colossae in Biblical History?

The Apostle Paul traveled throughout much of the Roman Empire in the first century spreading Christianity and preaching to people and churches. Two of the cities he visited were Philippi in Greece and Colossae in Asia Minor (now Turkey).   Philippi Before Paul Arrived   Philippi was originally a Thrasian colony called Crenides, established […]

yesterday 2 votes